Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.211880 0.238730 0.267078 0.299179 0.334461 0.371995 0.414883
2025-06-22 0.175836 0.212077 0.252487 0.300681 0.356376 0.418495 0.492790
2025-06-29 0.149469 0.191318 0.240235 0.301195 0.374652 0.459816 0.565489
2025-07-06 0.129136 0.174445 0.229696 0.301276 0.390725 0.497931 0.635161
2025-07-13 0.114738 0.162761 0.223594 0.305166 0.410395 0.540184 0.710799
2025-07-20 0.104748 0.155334 0.221648 0.313333 0.434962 0.588763 0.795626
2025-07-27 0.094321 0.145998 0.216008 0.315650 0.451342 0.626943 0.868157
2025-08-03 0.086968 0.140033 0.214111 0.322343 0.473226 0.672531 0.951425
2025-08-10 0.081160 0.135598 0.213746 0.330710 0.497292 0.721456 1.040409
2025-08-17 0.073201 0.127097 0.206733 0.328906 0.506726 0.750531 1.103264
2025-08-24 0.066643 0.120059 0.201186 0.328584 0.517814 0.781807 1.169675
2025-08-31 0.060833 0.113609 0.195931 0.328134 0.528335 0.812264 1.235505
2025-09-07 0.057069 0.110319 0.195515 0.335256 0.550743 0.861057 1.329868
2025-09-14 0.052169 0.104619 0.190816 0.335367 0.562513 0.894827 1.403837
2025-09-21 0.047709 0.099223 0.186148 0.335108 0.573495 0.927600 1.477187
2025-09-28 0.043694 0.094202 0.181673 0.334757 0.584107 0.959945 1.550661
2025-10-05 0.040821 0.090995 0.179990 0.338769 0.601570 1.002938 1.640959
2025-10-12 0.038965 0.089532 0.181185 0.347554 0.626877 1.058494 1.751487
2025-10-19 0.036299 0.086205 0.178796 0.350012 0.641882 1.098515 1.839458
2025-10-26 0.034539 0.084519 0.179222 0.357272 0.664937 1.151598 1.948655
2025-11-02 0.033151 0.083458 0.180695 0.366373 0.691295 1.210516 2.068255
2025-11-09 0.030464 0.079360 0.176142 0.364396 0.698776 1.239551 2.141953
2025-11-16 0.028205 0.075946 0.172629 0.364039 0.708873 1.272904 2.223087